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« Right Off the Cliff | Main | Pedro Goes Down » September 26, 2006What Have We Learned?After a devastating attack on the American homeland that resulted in nearly 3,000 deaths, the United States plunged into war on two fronts. Despite widespread support for the war, one Senator stepped forward to take a hard look at how the United States was spending its money. What he found appalled him, and he spent the next two years rooting out corruption and mismanagement from the budget, going after military contractors who were taking advantage of the war to line their own pockets with little concern for the goods and services they were providing to the military. The crusading senator saved the government as much as half a trillion dollars and helped to ensure quality products were provided to the war effort. Obviously I'm not talking about today's war, nor a modern senator. History buffs will recognize this crusader as none other than Harry S Truman, who would become FDR's last Vice President in 1944 and his successor only 82 days into FDR's fourth term, largely on the strength of the work he put in as head of what became known as the Truman Committee. Truman supported the war, of course, but he understood that he had a job to do as a United States Senator, and he did it exceedingly well. He understood that supporting the war and the troops didn't mean uncritically accepting what he was told. Today's Congress would do well to follow his lead and do a lot more investigating of issues like military spending and administration conduct. While I happen to think the administration has the best of intentions regarding trying to protect the United States from terrorism, good intentions tend to run afoul of our unfortunate tendency as a species to make mistakes. And with a supine Congress and a political culture that emphasizes success at the polls over anything else, when the President makes a mistake (or many), he can really put the country in a hole. Sooner or later, (probably sooner), the country will have another President who wants to take the nation to war. When that time comes presumably (hopefully) he will go to the Congress and request a declaration of war, or more likely an authorization for the use of force. When that day comes, I wonder if that future Congress will have learned anything from our experience in Iraq. While most Republicans who voted in favor of the AUMF in Iraq have stood by their votes, there were plenty of Democrats who voted for it in 2002 because they feared voting aganst it would hurt them at the polls, and who have since repudiated their vote by claiming that they were in some way misled. Yet Congress has the power and the responsibility to oversee America's intelligence agencies. They had and have the power to request everything the CIA produces, not just to see what the President wants them to see. If they were misled, they are not blameless in that, for they chose to accept what the administration claimed without doing their due diligence. Personally, I don't think anyone was misled; I think they believed that their vote might hurt them politically and so chose to vote against their beliefs. Might a vote against the war have hurt them? I'm sure it would; the Republican party has demonstrated an impressive bent for demagoguing the war issue. But part of being in Congress is supposed to be a willingness to act on behalf of one's constituents, if only once in a while. And if there is any vote more important than one that will send the country to war, I cannot imagine what it might be. Conversely, it was simply unconscionable of the Republicans to play politics with the vote by holding it just prior to the 2002 elections. Had many of the issues that have been raised since the Iraq invasion in 2003 had been brought out in 2002, perhaps the AUMF could have been defeated. Even if not (and I think it was unlikely), Congress could have pushed the administration to do a better job of planning for the invasion and the occupation, rather than passively accepting the 'three months and out' concept SecDef Rumsfeld advocated. Instead, the country went to war on a very weak foundation of votes that were cast out of fear of political consequences rather than the belief war was the proper course of action. The result was predictable, albeit made worse by the Bush administration's impressively poor planning for the war: when things got tough, as they will in war, the Representatives and Senators who didn't really think Iraq was a good idea in the first place began speaking their mind. While I don't object to anyone speaking their mind, the decision to do so once the mission was begun provided the worst of both worlds: the illusion of support for the mission that allowed it to go forward combined with an almost-immediate undermining of the war. I do not believe for a second that the Iraq mission would have been much more successful, if at all, if all the Congressmen who voted for the war put their minds to trying to win it rather than how to get out of it, but their about-face certainly didn't help things. The country would have been better-served had they simply voted their conscience in the first place. So...will this experience change anything in the future? Will a future Congress press the administration harder on its case for war before agreeing to commit U.S. forces to combat? Will those Congressmen who don't agree with the rationale for the war speak out before the vote, rather than voting out of fear of negative electoral fallout? Iraq has cost our country thousands of lives, billions of dollars, and incalculable prestige in the international arena. In all likelihood we will eventually lose the war in Iraq, barring a significant change in the Iraqis' willingness to come together as a people. It would be nice to believe that at least we might learn something from the failures that brought us to this point. Posted at September 26, 2006 06:13 PM
Comment policyI apologize for only allowing authenticated commenters, but comment spam overwhelms the site if I don't use those measures to prevent it. I reserve the right to delete any comment, although generally comments will only be deleted due to use of profanity or personal attacks on people. I have no objection to vigorous argument, but when name-calling begins, I'm putting a stop to it. In the immortal words of Eugene Levy, "People, people, let's stop this before somebody says something untrue!" If you want to call people names, I recommend you get your own blog. Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsJust an outstanding post Andrew. As to whether or not we'll learn from all of this, history doesn't give me much confidence. Posted by: Davebo at September 26, 2006 09:30 PM I don't agree with you about the motivation of representatives who voted for the resolution in 2002, despite reservations. I say this because although I have opposed the war from inception to the present, I probably would have voted for the resolution. At least, I would have very seriously considered doing so, without regard to electoral consequences. Obviously, we just have to disagree on how other people -- whose minds we are not capable of reading, either way -- approached this. The problem with the war, though, isn't so much with how we got in, but with the Administration's consistent push, successful so far, to prevent anyone from playing the Truman role this time around. Just as one might admire the audacity of Attila the Hun, one has to admire the way in which the Administration has gotten the majority in Congress to identify with it so completely. In the next few days, Congress is likely to pass a bill that not only legalizes torture, but immunizes everyone implicated in torture in the past, including the President and his senior staff. The Administration has convinced the majority in Congress that it must pass this bill or face electoral ruin, and the argument has some plausibility. (Although the most important point is that if a house of Congress changes hands, all that prior conduct will no longer be illegal, and so investigations can be resisted on the basis of 'nothing to see here.') From the very beginning of the Administration, the President has used the 'too big to fail' tool to his advantage, setting up situations where voting against the Administration would be even more catastrophic than supporting its bad ideas. (This is why I would probably have voted for the Iraq resolution in 2002 -- imagine how things would've played out had it lost). I'm reasonably optimistic that the particular configuration we are seeing now is rare enough that it will not be repeated often. An Administration as reckless as this one, a near cult of personality among a significant (I'm not saying dominant) segment of the supporters of the majority, senior Administration officials (the VP, for example) who show little appreciation for the importance of informed decision-making by either public or Congress (this is the polite way of calling him a liar), and a press that seems too cowed to say much about it. The detached incurious nature of the President. (Just imagine what Bill Clinton would've been doing with this war. You might not like it, but he'd know who the players are in every neighborhood in Baghdad, how much fuel every armored group in Ramadi has on hand, etc. Not because he's brilliant, but because his coping mechanism isn't certainty in his righteousness, but mastery of the detail). Posted by: CharleyCarp at September 27, 2006 07:33 AM Dave, I'm not hopeful either. But then, I'm naturally pessimistic. Charley, I'm sure that there were many factors that went into the vote. But I don't think it's a coincidence that every Democrat who has presidential aspirations voted for the resolution. And I hope you're not a believer in Kerry's crap about how he voted for the resolution because he wanted the U.S. threat of force to be viable. If that's true, then he's not competent to be dogcatcher, let alone POTUS. This administration may be uniquely bad (I'm undecided on that point), but that doesn't give Congress a pass. We were severely let down by all of our elected leadership over the past six years. I continue to hope that the Democrats will take at least one chamber of Congress this November, but I don't expect to see a Truman arise from their ranks, either. More likely we'll see witch-hunts rather than in-depth examinations. My biggest fear is that we'll see the Democrats push the President's popularity up just as the Republicans did for President Clinton in the late 1990s. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at September 27, 2006 07:56 AM I don't know what was in Sen. Kerry's head. I did think at the time, though, that passage of the authorization was necessary to get a UN resolution and, more to the point, that defeat of the authorization would be a very bad thing for the country. No UN resolution, after the mobilization had already begun, would've forced the Administration into either a more lawless invasion than the one they did or to back down entirely, with all manner of folks drawing the wrong inferences. I thought (and think) it was extraordinarily reckless for the Adminisrtration to have put us in that situation, but I don't deny that we were in it. Many people have the same view of Iraq -- it was reckless to get it started, but now we have to end it right -- and not be seen to have been driven out by Al Qaeda -- or the consequences might well be even worse than the mess we're already in. I find it maddening that the Administration is hostage to the President's overblown rhetoric, and so has been unable, at any of the natural turning points over the past 2 years, to declare victory and leave. Posted by: CharleyCarp at September 28, 2006 10:51 PM Charley, I cannot be certain what was in Senator Kerry's mind, either. However, I continue to believe that he voted for a bill that he didn't believe in because he felt that to do otherwise would undermine his prospects for the Presidency. I certainly won't dispute the administration's various failures in the run-up to the war, to include setting up the vote in such a way that to vote it down would undermine the U.S. However, I would submit that we might be better off today had we suffered the loss of prestige to the President caused by a Congressional rebuke in lieu of the thousands of deaths and billions of dollars we have spent on the war thus far. 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