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« American Sphinx | Main | Baghdad!=Stalingrad » August 04, 2006The End of JoementumIt would appear that the long political odyssey of Senator Joe Lieberman is about to come to an ignominious end. Ned Lamont is well ahead of him in the latest poll, holding a 13-point lead with less than a week to the primary. This is a rather painful fall for Lieberman. Six years ago he came within a bad ballot design of the Naval Observatory, which might well have meant he was the presumptive Democratic nominee for President in 2008. Instead he will lose the Democratic primary to a political naif, and it now appears that he will lose the general election as well. (A hearty mea culpa is owed to those who told me that Lieberman wouldn't win the general election if he lost the primary; they appear to have been right and I was wrong.) A rather ignominious end to a career, although I'll certainly shed no tears, as Lieberman has spent a whopping 18 years in the United States Senate, more than enough for any lifetime. What I find more interesting is how this dynamic has played out in the press. Lamont has been portrayed as the candidate of the bloggers, in part because he has received a great deal of support from blogosphere bigshots like Markos Moulitsas. (I wonder how the right blogosphere will handle no longer being able to tease Markos over his record of supporting candidates.) I was skeptical of Lamont at first, viewing the campaign against Lieberman as an attempt to hound moderates out of the Democratic Party, and the press certainly seemed to view the contest in this light. As Lamont has surged, however, this claim seems to be less common. Hanging out in Obsidian Wings' comment section, of course, also helped to disabuse me of that notion, but that can hardly explain the change in the press. Is it simply that Lamont's clear advantage now demonstrates that his appeal goes a lot further than the blogosphere? Or is the media, which still doesn't seem to know how to relate to the blogosphere, want to play down the blogs in light of Lamont's success? It's probably neither of those, but it's an interesting question nonetheless. While I think the blogosphere should get some credit for Lamont's success, most of the credit really seems to belong with Lieberman. His decision to position himself as a bipartisan guy may be indicative of a guy who is more interested in doing the job than fighting partisan battles (or it may be indicative of a guy who thinks it's an electoral advantage), but it's clearly hurt him badly among Connecticut Democrats. As I said, I won't miss him, but this seems to suggest that the partisan wars that seem more important than mission accomplishment among the political class are only going to get worse in the coming years. Hardly a surprising conclusion, but hardly a welcome one, either. Posted at August 4, 2006 08:29 AM
Comment policyI apologize for only allowing authenticated commenters, but comment spam overwhelms the site if I don't use those measures to prevent it. I reserve the right to delete any comment, although generally comments will only be deleted due to use of profanity or personal attacks on people. I have no objection to vigorous argument, but when name-calling begins, I'm putting a stop to it. In the immortal words of Eugene Levy, "People, people, let's stop this before somebody says something untrue!" If you want to call people names, I recommend you get your own blog. Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsWhere did you go? Did you get kicked off ObWi for being a conservative? Posted by: Enrak at August 4, 2006 08:40 AM No, not at all. I'm just taking a little hiatus. The commentary got to be a little too annoying. One can only be called a heartless bastard or stupid git so many times before you need a break. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 4, 2006 08:47 AM Take heart (if you've got one). Not everyone there is like Jes over there. A lot of people thanked you for posting that even though they disagreed with you. I gotta be honest with you though. It's time to put Jes in the "ignore" pile. There is no point. My favorite is the condescending tone. You can tell that even the nice ones think that we are just sloooooow. Posted by: Enrak at August 4, 2006 09:04 AM Oh, I realize that. The deciding factor for me was actually jaywalker's comment that I would come over from the dark side once I realized I was wrong, or some such. It gets tiresome to realize that I am expected to constantly check my premises and be prepared to change my position, but they are under no such requirement. Their position is the right one, QED. I don't mind reexamining my beliefs, but I'd appreciate the same courtesy from those I'm arguing with. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 4, 2006 09:13 AM "I gotta be honest with you though. It's time to put Jes in the 'ignore' pile. There is no point." If one is really lucky, one can get her to decide that you're so rotten, she pretends you don't exist, which is what happened to me a year and a half or two back. I'm a crazy (and dishonest) right-winger, after all. :-) Jes tends to translate what people say into what, you know, they Really Mean (according to the voices in her head). She did that with me, and I pointed out that, no, I'd said no such thing, and she then concluded and asserted that, aha, I was being dishonest about what I'd said, because I denied saying what the voices in her head told her I meant! That's my version, anyway. I believe hers is a tad different. In fairness, I think she has some valuable points to make at times; she's not a complete lunatic by any means. She's just incredibly rigid and dogmatic about What Things Mean much of the time. "Their position is the right one, QED." I know you know this, but it's important to remember, when facing the pack, that everyone is an individual, with plenty of differences amongst themselves, as well. Posted by: Gary Farber at August 5, 2006 02:05 AM Gary, Indeed, I recall trying to make that very point a few weeks back. And getting clobbered for it. ObWings' commentariat is so strongly liberal now that it seems that, as a designated 'right-winger,' many of the commenters are not reading what I write to see what I think, but they're just looking for areas where they can pick me apart. That gets tiresome. Fortunately, hilzoy and von are posting frequently enough that I don't think my absence hurts anything. I actually like Jes, despite myself. Which makes it all the more frustrating when I can't communicate with her; I dislike giving up. On the other hand, it seems that discretion may be the better part of valor in this case. If she's got you on the right-wing, I have no hope at all. Again, there are plenty of commenters that I enjoy interacting with. But as Enrak noted above, I often get the feeling that, even with those who aren't trying to prove that I dine on roast peasant every night, there's an element of condescension. 'Aren't those conservatives cute? You'd almost think they had real principles.' Or perhaps I'm just hypersensitive. ;) Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 5, 2006 07:24 AM You mean you don't dine on roast pheasant every night? Seriously: don't let Jes (or jaywalker) get to you. Or anyone else, for that matter. For reasons that I don't understand, the commentariat has gone unpleasant over the past few days; that's not normal for them, and I don't much like it. Maybe it's just that Israel is so much in the news, which in my experience does not bring out the best in people. Or maybe just the heat. You should know that since your arrival, I have gotten a flurry of emails saying: great move! yay! (from people who are under the impression that it was my move, which it wasn't. I hate that.) Orders of magnitude more than on any other development concerning the blog. (Which isn't saying all that much, since it's not as though I get torrents and torrents of blog-related emails, but well into double digits is, in my experience, unprecedented.) About Lieberman: I haven't actually noticed many bloggers claiming or expecting credit for a Lamont victory, if one happens, and quite a few (Atrios, Mark Schmitt, the whole TAPPED crew for starters) explicitly saying they think it's not a blogger-driven thing. So absent some evidence that I'm just not reading the relevant blogs, I'm inclined to treat the idea that "bloggers will, of course, claim credit for this" as a media invention, like the idea that it's all about the war. Posted by: hilzoy at August 5, 2006 03:52 PM hilzoy, I saw something this morning about Markos explicitly disclaiming credit for Lamont's success, so I think you're on target there. Although I think the netroots do deserve some credit, as their enthusiasm did generate publicity about the race, if nothing else. Perhaps the left blogosphere is less prone to blogger triumphalism than the right. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 5, 2006 04:08 PM And, for the record, I didn't misspell 'peasant.' 'Twas intended as a small pun. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 5, 2006 04:10 PM Clever me didn't even notice 'peasant' before I rewrote it in my mind. Surely there's a lesson here somewhere... Most of the furniture doesn't talk to me. Only the mirror on the wall ;) Posted by: hilzoy at August 5, 2006 06:49 PM And no sooner do I surf away than I come across one more blogger disclaiming responsibility: here. Posted by: hilzoy at August 5, 2006 06:52 PM Even Jane Hamsher says: "We can do a lot of things but we can’t deliver elections. We write about the Connecticut race because it is a good story; it is not a story that exists because we write about it. So I’m always happy to see a bit of local pushback against the boneheaded DC punditocracy canon that this race has everything to do with their own personal obsession — a couple of bloggers — and nothing to do with what is happening in Connecticut, or the country at large for that matter." (Don't worry; I'm not going to come back each and every time I find such a comment. The first one just amused me since I had literally just left here; and I bothered with Jane Hamsher just because if she, Atrios, and kos have all said these things, then (given that I can't imagine Kevin Drum or Josh Marshall or digby being dumb enough to take credit) I can't imagine which first-tier liberal bloggers whoever says this could possibly be thinking of. Posted by: hilzoy at August 5, 2006 07:06 PM Sorry, my comment was meant as a joke not as an offense. You cite Babylon 5, I prefer Star Wars (the originals). I apologize. I did not want and did not expect to hurt you. Your positions are actually not that far from mine. What I meant was that you are a great addition to Obsidian Wings, a conservative open to reasoning. Actually, a veiled compliment which has somehow gone horribly wrong. Posted by: jaywalker at August 6, 2006 09:11 AM hilzoy, Given Jane's recent difficulties, I'm not sure she's a good source for such quotes. She has every reason in the world to push the idea that Lamont has nothing to do with bloggers. jaywalker, No harm done. I think I let other problems affect how I was reading things at ObWings. One of my many unfortunate habits. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 6, 2006 12:28 PM I think that the character of ObWings commentary is unfortunately particularly strident when it comes to Israel/Palestine issues. Every time I get heated up on one of those threads, or one on the 2000 election, I end up swearing off the subject. You wouldn't know it, but I have a much better long term record of restraint on these issues than I've shown over the last two weeks. Sorry if I've played a part in your displeasure with the ObWi experience. Are you watching the game in the Trop right now? The boys are doing pretty well, but they're really going to have to do better if they're going to get and stay ahead of the Yanks. Posted by: CharleyCarp at August 6, 2006 01:24 PM Charley, I don't have any TV where I'm currently deployed. But my wife has already relayed to me how we managed to blow it. I think we may be waiting for next year; the injury bug has just been too great for us to overcome this year. And for the record, I haven't been displeased with ObWings, I just got a little frustrated, which I think was largely the result of unrelated stressors in my personal and professional life. Right now I just need to get posting again; when I pause, I often have difficulty getting the creative juices flowing again. Posted by: Andrew Olmsted at August 6, 2006 05:48 PM Post a commentThanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (sign out) (If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.) |